Likelihood and impact

1. Regulatory Concept & Core Standards

This video's topic is likelihood and impact. By the end, you should be able to justify risk scores. We will connect the information available, the criterion guiding the decision and the action that must be recorded. Follow the case and compare your answer with the proposed response. A risk matrix is a teaching and management method. Article 10 likelihood determination, article 11 risk-management assessment and STT risk analysis are different procedures. Check the conditions for each.

Scores belong to a chosen method, not objective probability statistics. Scale labels must mean the same to reviewers. Uncertainty must remain visible.

Apply the following rule: Article 8 distinguishes guarantees available from receipt and measures requiring status granted by the Prosecutor’s Office. Rewards and compensation are not automatic. Corruption Prevention Act duties depend on the entity and specific provision. Rules for independent institutions and other public-sector entities differ. A teaching risk matrix is not an official compliance assessment. Portugal’s RGPC does not apply as Lithuania’s national law.

2. Practical Implementation & Procedure

Define criteria, assess incident data, control weaknesses and potential harm, and justify results and review needs. Before moving on, turn this procedure into a sequence you could explain to a colleague. Identify the first check, the action that depends on its outcome and the record that allows the decision to be reconstructed. Follow the sequence on screen and identify the point where an error would change the result.

At each step, compare the information available with what is still needed for the decision. Arrange continuity when the designated worker is absent. A substitute receives only the information needed for the task, and their actions must remain verifiable.

Mark an unanswered question as a fact to verify. Identify who could confirm it and what access they actually need. A correct exercise choice alone does not show that the reasoning is understood. If the answer depends on an additional fact, state that condition explicitly.

For the workplace task, name the person who can approve the change and the person who will check that it works. Produce a concrete verifiable action, rather than only a promise to follow rules. Check effects on access rights and user information. Record questions that your organisation still needs to resolve.

3. Case Study & Compliance Action

Two teams differ because one interprets high impact financially and the other through safety consequences. Now read the case carefully. Separate established facts from information you would still need to confirm. Do not add motives or events that have not been described. This distinction matters when choosing a response proportionate to the information available.

The exercise is as follows: How should assessment be aligned? Choose an answer and write one sentence explaining it. During the pause, compare your choice with the criteria we have just considered. Also think about the material you would retain to explain the decision later.

Agree clear impact criteria and use the same facts. Record justified disagreement and missing information rather than blindly averaging.

One mistake to avoid is: simulating precision without criteria.

Now apply the national rule to a second decision. An organisation says every teaching matrix is a Lithuanian legal requirement for everyone. What should be corrected?

Distinguish specific Corruption Prevention Act duties from teaching methods. For example, Article 13’s code requirement for an independent institution is not an identically formulated duty for every private company. Link each legal statement to its addressee and source. For a chosen method, identify the risk reduced, owner and operating evidence. Completing a course does not replace a compliance review.